Obama still favored to win.

Using RealClearPolitics poll, those states solid or leaning McCain, give him 265 electoral votes. Taking the Bradley effect into account, McCain could win with Pennsylvania (21) or Wisconsin (10. If Donna Brazile is correct, Obama needs >5% in pre-election polling results to win a state. In that case McCain will also pickup Colorado (9), New Hampshire(4),Wisconsin (10) and possibly Michigan (17), Washington (11). Personally, I think Donna is reaching. But given that pollsters thought Bush would lose in 2004, maybe Donna is right.